2022 Tavil presidential election
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| Turnout | 93,5% (▼ 4.66 pp) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Presidential elections were held in Republic of Tavil on 20 March 2022 alongside parliamentary elections on the same day.
Incumbent President Kaya declared his candidacy for the Tavil Democratic People's Party on 2 February. The main opposition, the Tavil Communist Party, nominated Alexander Ha'aland, a member of parliament known for his combative opposition and spirited speeches against Kaya. The Tavil National Party, which coalition with TDPP nominated Felix Harribal. Besides these candidates, Micheal Benito, former party speaker for Tavil Communist Party from Tavil Workers Party, Sandy Portland, from the Tavil Liberal Party, Sofia London, from the Tavil Green Party, April Queens, the leader of the Tavil First Party, and the independent candidate Pam Arial announced their candidacies.
Campaigning centred mainly on the rising Tavil economy and foreign policy, with both government and opposition featured in the campaign.
Electoral system
The Tavil Republic electoral system had been changed a few months before the election. In the previous system, the President could also be the party chairman. This was changed in the decision made in the parliament. According to the new system, the President was no longer a party leader.
The President of the Republic of Tavil is elected by the people. But the prime ministerial elections are held by the parliament and must be held within 7 days at the most after the presidential election. Parliamentary elections are held together with the presidential election.
Candidates
The Supreme Electoral Council formally announced the candidates on 19 Feb.
| Official list of presidential candidates in order they appear on the ballot paper | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| File:HSK Avatar.png | |||||||
| Hamza Samet Kaya | Alexander Ha'aland | Felix Harribal | Micheal Benito | April Queens | Sofia London | Sandy Portland | Pam Arial |
| TDPP | TCP | TNP | TWP | TFP | The Greens | Liberals | Independent |
| announced on 2 Feb | announced on 1 Feb | announced on 17 Feb | announced on 22 Jan | announced on 31 Jan | announced on 24 Jan | announced on 18 Feb | announced on 19 Feb |
Campaigns
Kaya Campaign
Hamza Samet Kaya, the country's founder and in office since 2020, was officially nominated by his party on February 2.
Kaya's campaign was mostly focused on the Tavil economy, which has been on the rise since December. Tavil's economy had grown by more than 400% this month since December. Kaya promised that this growth would continue.
Another of Kaya's campaigns was on foreign policy. According to him, if he is elected, it will be more effective on other microstates in foreign policy. Besides against Russia, Iran, China and North Korea; The United States promised to maintain a pro-EU and NATO policy.
Ha'aland Campaign
Alexander Ha'aland was formally nominated by his party on February 1.
Ha'aland's campaign has been the subject of much controversy.
Ha'aland's campaign drew attention to the dependence of the Tavil economy on the US, Japan and the UK. According to him, if he is elected, the country's economy will get rid of this dependency, more socialist; It would pave the way for a pro-Chinese and pro-Russian economy. Ha'aland also drew attention to rising inflation. He claimed that the inflation and unemployment figures were not correct, claiming that inflation was at the 40% limit and unemployment was at the 35% limit.
Ha'aland claimed that the country was a puppet of the USA and that Kaya had enriched his fortune by supporting this. Ha'aland caused a lot of public reaction with these speeches.
He also made statements that if Ha'aland is elected, embargoes against Russia and Belarus will be lifted, and North Korea, Transnistria, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Nagorno-Karabakh, Donetsk and Luhansk will be officially recognized.
Until the election, because of his ardent and fierce opposition to Kaya, he garnered great support from the communist circles.
Harribal campaign
Felix Harribal was nominated on 17 February by his party, which is in coalition with the ruling party.
Harribal's campaign was mostly focused at rising unemployment in the country. Unemployment has been rising steadily since December. He promised that if elected, unemployment would be reduced to single digits.
Harribal announced that if elected, a more conservative and nationalist form of government would be adopted.
In addition, Harribal said that communism is a completely irrational ideology and that if they were elected, it would be completely wiped out from the country, while garnering all the support of the conservative and nationalist circles, it caused a very intense reaction from the communists. So much so that the communists was disclosed his phone number and banking infos, his website was hacked, and even a smear campaign was attempted.
Harribal did not criticize the incumbent president Kaya much, as his party is a coalition party.
Benito campaign
Micheal Benito was nominated by his party on January 22.
Benito's campaign focused mostly on the economy. He criticized the dependence of the economy on the USA and declared that they would build a socialist model if elected.
Benito also harshly criticized the Tavil Communist Party. Tavil claimed that the Communist Party had completely moved away from Leninism and Marxism, and that the party had adopted the ideals of Maoism.
Benito declared that if elected, freedom of expression would be completely free unlike the Tavil Communist Party.
In addition, Benito said that although he did not fully support Russia's invasion of Ukraine, pro-Russian regions and Crimea should be handed over to Russia for a permanent solution.
At the same time, Benito was often criticized for being the leader of his party, his older brother.
Queens campaign
April Queens was nominated on 31 January by her party, of which she is also the leader.
Queens didn't campaign much. He said that he supported the incumbent Kaya until the candidate was elected.
Queens has declared that democratic and liberal ideals will be adopted more if she is elected, that freedom of expression will be completely free, and that the form of government in the country will be full democracy in a coalition of 5 people.
According to the electoral system in the Tavil Republic, the president cannot be the leader of a party. However, Queens was criticized by all the public, including the ruling party, because she entered the election as party chairman, and she said that when Queens was elected, an extraordinary congress would already be held in the party and she would resign from the party chairmanship.
London campaign
Sofia London was nominated by her party on January 24.
London's campaign was the party's ideal of green politics. He said that if London is elected, the industrial taxes will be increased, the green reconciliation action plan will be implemented and a green policy and social democratic management approach will be adopted in the country.
In addition, London said that more importance will be given to human rights.
Throughout his campaign, London focused only on green politics and human rights, and did not criticize any other party, although it did not receive criticism from any other party.
Portland campaign
Sandy Portland was nominated by her party on February 18.
He said that if Portland was elected, taxes would be lowered and that the economy in the country would be fully privatized and a liberal economy would be implemented.
Portland also spoke about human rights and said that more importance would be given to human rights.
Portland has also spoken on green policy, and has given a lot of support to The Greens candidate Sofia London.
Arial campaign
Independent candidate Pam Arial announced her candidacy on February 19. In addition, Pam Arial was also a candidate in the 2021 election and finished last.
Arial argued that the president of the country should be completely independent and not affiliated with any party.
He said that if Arial is elected, the Swiss model will be adopted and a completely independent 6-person confederation will be established.
Arial also declared that if elected, the country would be completely neutral from all countries and events in the world.
Arial also talked about the country's economy and declared that he adopted a liberal economy.
Arial also talked about the judicial system in the country and argued that the judicial system should be independent from everything and everyone.
Opinion polls
Opinion polls were controversial. According to this, Kaya lost most of the time and there was too much competition between the parties.
Graphical summary
Voting intention
| Date | Pollster | Sample size | Kaya | Ha'aland | Harribal | Benito | Queens | London | Portland | Arial | Lead 1 | Lead 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 March 2022 | AX Survey | 775 | 17 | 6.7 | 35.9 | 16.1 | 2.2 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 18.9 | 0.9 |
| 18 March 2022 | Plus Survey | 500 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 40.2 | 17.7 | 1.7 | 12.2 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 22.5 | 5.5 |
| 17 March 2022 | Plus Survey | 550 | 12.3 | 4.7 | 26.5 | 20.2 | 0.9 | 16.7 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 6.3 | 3.5 |
| 16 March 2022 | AX Survey | 400 | 17.9 | 8.1 | 19.8 | 19.9 | 0.8 | 14.5 | 14.4 | 4.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 |
| 15 March 2022 | PR Survey | 1000 | 15 | 7.7 | 18.8 | 24.4 | 1.9 | 13.3 | 15.5 | 3.4 | 5.6 | 3.3 |
| 14 March 2022 | Moon Survey | 400 | 22.5 | 9.9 | 13.3 | 23.3 | 2.7 | 11.7 | 12.2 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 9.2 |
| 13 March 2022 | AX Survey | 600 | 25.2 | 7.7 | 14.4 | 22.9 | 3.7 | 11.9 | 8.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 8.5 |
| 12 March 2022 | AX Survey | 500 | 29.8 | 3.9 | 16.6 | 21.1 | 3.3 | 11.1 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 4.5 |
| 11 March 2022 | Plus Survey | 600 | 27.1 | 5.3 | 18 | 20 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 7.7 | 9.9 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 10 March 2022 | Moon Survey | 225 | 26.9 | 5.1 | 15.6 | 19.9 | 2.3 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 15.5 | 7 | 4.3 |
| 9 March 2022 | AX Survey | 300 | 26.6 | 4.4 | 20.4 | 18.9 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 6.1 | 13.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 |
| 7 March 2022 | AX Survey | 200 | 23.4 | 3.9 | 23.2 | 18.8 | 4.1 | 12.2 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 4.4 |
| 5 March 2022 | AX Survey | 200 | 22.2 | 2.4 | 27.2 | 17.7 | 3.9 | 11.1 | 8.8 | 6.7 | 5 | 4.5 |
| 3 March 2022 | AX Survey | 170 | 19.3 | 6.3 | 32.2 | 12.2 | 2.7 | 10.9 | 6.6 | 9.8 | 12.9 | 7.1 |
| 1 March 2022 | AX Survey | 166 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 22.2 | 14.7 | 4.9 | 13.1 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| 28 Feb 2022 | Plus Survey | 250 | 33.9 | 4.4 | 17 | 14.9 | 5.5 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 16.9 | 2.1 |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Moon Survey | 169 | 20.2 | 3.7 | 16.9 | 18.8 | 9.9 | 17.7 | 7.7 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 24 Feb 2022 | AX Survey | 275 | 18 | 3.8 | 16.6 | 19.9 | 11.3 | 18.9 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 1 | 0.9 |
| 24 Feb 2022 | PR Survey | 800 | 17.9 | 7.9 | 14.2 | 23.3 | 11.1 | 18.8 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Plus Survey | 400 | 25 | 17.9 | 7.7 | 22.4 | 9.2 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 4.5 |
| 21 March 2021 | Election[a] | – | 46.3 | 31.1 (Juan) |
12.2 (Rocks) |
- | 8.3 (Leonard) |
- | - | 0.5 (Arial) 1.6 (Thomas) |
15.2 | 18.9 |
Results
The election was won by incumbent president Hamza Samet Kaya. However, his party, the Tavil Democratic People's Party, could not win the majority in the parliament and could not come to power alone and went into a coalition with the Tavil National Party.
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamza Samet Kaya | Tavil Democratic People's Party | 384 | 29.51 | |
| Felix Harribal | Tavil National Party | 363 | 27.93 | |
| Micheal Benito | Tavil Workers Party | 185 | 14.22 | |
| Sandy Portland | Tavil Liberal Party | 131 | 10.12 | |
| Sofia London | Tavil Green Party | 107 | 8.22 | |
| Alexander Ha'aland | Tavil Communist Party | 69 | 5.31 | |
| April Queens | Tavil First Party | 38 | 2.87 | |
| Pam Arial | Independent | 23 | 1.82 | |
| Total | 1300 | 100.00 | ||
| Valid votes | 1300 | 99.31 | ||
| Invalid/blank votes | 9 | 0.69 | ||
| Total | 1309 | 100.0 | ||
| Registered voters/turnout | 1400 | 95.5 | ||
Prime minister election
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All 300 Members of parliament voting in the Parliament of Tavil Republic 151 votes needed to win | |||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 81.34% ▼ 18.66 pp | ||||||||||||||||
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After the presidential election, the elections for the prime minister and the chairman of the parliament were held together with the newly elected members of the parliament. The first round was held on 28 March, but the prime minister was not elected. Second round was held on March 31 but the prime minister was not elected again. President Hamza Samet Kaya called all the members of parliament to the parliament to prevent a government crisis and the third round took place on April 11th.
Procedure
The prime ministirial vote is held in parliament by secret ballot. A candidate requires a two-thirds majority - or 225 votes - to be elected in the first two rounds. If there is no clear winner before the third round, the winning threshold is dropped to a simple majority, or 151 votes. If there is still no winner, the two candidates with the most votes from the third round progress to a runoff election, where the simply majority rule still applies. In the event of no clear winner among the two, the Tavil constitution states that a snap general election must be called to overcome the parliamentary deadlock.
Results
The prime ministerial election came to a conclusion in the third round. Adam Samuel, the incumbent prime minister and Tavil National Party candidate, won the election.
| Candidates | Position or political party | 1st round votes | 2nd round votes | 3rd round votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Samuel | Incubment prime minister. Tavil National Party candidate. | 101 | 99 | 154 |
| Joseph Thomas | Tavil Liberal Party | 31 | 109 | 74 |
| Mike Jeffrey | Leader of the Tavil Democratic People's Party | 104 | withdrawn | |
| Sophia Riot | Leader of the Tavil Green Party | 11 | 9 | |
| Kevin Benito | Leader of the Tavil Workers Party | 30 | 22 | |
| Noah Fischer | Leader of the Tavil Communist Party | 5 | 5 | |
| Invalid votes | 18 | 17 | 19 | |
| Boycott | 5 | 39 | 56 | |
| Total MP turnout | 295 | 261 | 244 | |
Withdrawn nominations
- Mike Jeffrey Despite receiving the highest number of votes in the first round, he made a deal with the Tavil Liberal Party and decided to withdraw and supported Tavil Liberal Party candidate Thomas Jeffrey.